|EAA – Ekonomisk kalkyl för jordbrukssektorn|
JO 45 SM 1503
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The value of agricultural output 2015 is expected to increase by almost 2 % compared with 2014. The value of crop output is expected to increase by 3 % and animal output is expected to remain almost unchanged.
The total harvest of cereals is expected to be about 6.1 million metric tonnes in 2015, an increase by 5 % compared with 2014. The output prices of cereals are expected to decrease in the crop year 2015/2016 compared with 2014/2015. In total the value of cereal production is expected to decrease by 4 % compared with the previous harvest year.
Total harvest of rape and turnip rape is expected to increase by 10 % compared with 2014. Even if prices during the crop year 2015/2016 are expected to decrease the total production value of oilseeds is estimated to increase by 3 %.
The slaughter of cattle is expected to increase by 1.5 % during 2015. At the same time prices are expected to increase. The value at producer prices is expected to increase by 12 %. The slaughter of pigs is expected to remain quite stable but the output price is expected to increase which leads to an increase in the value of pig production by 5 %.
The value of milk production is expected to decrease by 15 % due to lower average output prices of milk. Production of milk is estimated to remain almost at the same level as in 2014.
The value of the output of the agricultural industry at basic prices is expected to increase by 1.7 % in 2015 compared with 2014. At the same time, the value of the total intermediate consumption is expected to decrease by almost 1 %.
The factor income is calculated as the sum of production value and subsidies less the expenses of intermediate consumption and fixed capital consumption. Factor income is expected to increase by 3 % in 2015 and the net entrepreneurial income is estimated to increase by almost 4 %.