|EAA – Ekonomisk kalkyl för jordbrukssektorn|
JO 45 SM 1404
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The value of agricultural output 2014 is expected to be at almost the same level as in 2013. Both the value of crop output and animal output are expected to decrease by almost 1 %.
The total harvest of cereals is expected to be about 5.7 million metric tonnes in 2014, an increase by 14 % compared with 2013. The output prices of cereals are expected to decrease in the harvest year 2013/2014 compared with 2012/2013. In total, though, the value of cereal production is expected to increase by 2 % compared to last harvest year.
The total harvest of rape and turnip rape is expected to be at almost the same level as in 2013, due to an increase in the yield. The prices for the crop year 2014/2015 are expected to decrease and in total the production value of rape and turnip rape is estimated to a decrease by 16 %.
The slaughter of cattle is expected to increase by 3 % during 2014. At the same time prices are expected to decrease by about 5 %. The slaughter of pigs is expected to remain quite stable but the output price is expected to decrease which leads to a decrease in the value of pig production by almost 8 %.
The quantity of milk delivered to wholesalers is expected to increase by 2.5 % compared with 2013. At the same time the average output price of milk is estimated to increase by 3 % in 2014. The output prices were higher in the beginning of the year compared with the same period 2013. Although the prices have decreased during a large part of the year it is estimated that the average output price will be higher in 2014 compared with 2013. In total, the value of milk production is expected to increase by almost 6 %.
The value of the output of the agricultural industry at basic prices is expected to decrease marginally in 2014 compared with 2013. At the same time, the value of the total intermediate consumption is expected to be almost unchanged.
The factor income is calculated as the sum of production value and subsides less the expenses of intermediate consumption and fixed capital consumption. The factor income is expected to decrease by 1.5 % in 2014 and the entrepreneurial income is estimated to decrease only marginally.