|EAA – Ekonomisk kalkyl för jordbrukssektorn|
JO 45 SM 1303
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The value of agricultural output is expected to decrease by almost 2 % in 2013 compared with 2012. Crop output is expected to decrease by 8 %, while animal output is expected to increase by 5 %.
The total harvest of cereals is expected to be about 5.0 million metric tonnes in 2013. This is almost the same level as 2012. The output prices of cereals are expected to decrease substantially in the harvest year 2013/2014 compared with 2012/2013.
The total harvest of rape and turnip rape is expected to increase by 5 % in 2013 compared with 2012, mainly due to an increase in the cultivated area. As for cereals, the prices for the crop year 2012/13 are expected to decrease substantially.
The slaughtering of cattle is expected to increase slightly during 2013. At the same time prices are expected to decrease about 1 %. The slaughtering of pigs is expected to decrease by 1 % and the prices are expected to increase.
The quantity of milk delivered to wholesalers is expected to decrease a little bit in 2013. The output price of milk, though, is expected to increase by about 8 % in 2013 and this is the main reason for the increase in the value of animal output
The value of the output of the agricultural industry at basic prices is expected to decrease by a little bit more than 1 % in 2013 compared with 2012. At the same time, the value of the total intermediate consumption is expected to be almost unchanged.
The factor income is calculated as the sum of production value and subsides less the expenses of intermediate consumption and fixed capital consumption. The factor income is expected to decrease by a little bit more than 2 % in 2013 and the net operating surplus is expected to decrease by 3 %.